Wednesday, September 30, 2020

I Don't Remember

The moment came and went, 
A singularity of words, 
Black hole of shock, 
Obliteration of the shell. 
What you told me isn't true, 
It can't be, he loves me, 
He told me every day, and you, 
Love to hatred turned. 
Denial built a cave, 
Glittering buttons of hope 
Fading to darkness, 
The years growing cold, 
Memory lost in despair. 
Cause is irrelevant, 
It doesn't matter, 
I must go forward, 
Forget him, forget everything, 
It's the only way. 
I don't remember, I don't care, 
Let it burn, let this moment burn. 

Sunday, September 27, 2020

Catastrophes, Extinctions, and the Azolla Event: How Life Changes Climate as Often as Nature

    In light of rising global temperatures, I thought it would be fun to look at global climate data, going as far back as possible, to see if any patterns emerged in the many theories about mass extinction and climate change through Earth’s history.  The graph above shows detailed information on climate change over the last 500 million years.  It’s hard to find data before that, because the climate was much more extreme, alternating between periods of inhospitable heat and ones that were so cold that Earth was literally an ice planet.  That’s why it took a long time for life to evolve; prior to the Cambrian explosion- when most major animal phyla start appearing in the fossil record- the climate was too variable for species to dominate for long periods of time. 
            Looking at the graph, right away we can see that for most of the time our planet was relatively warm and had no polar ice caps.  Interestingly, there are periods spanning tens of millions of years where the Earth was too warm to have them.  We can also see that the story of the human race began during one of Earth's coldest periods.  Considering all the hysteria about climate change, it might surprise people to know that the planet is far cooler right now than it’s been on average. 
            Changes in the climate as seen on the graph can be explained by many things.  The most general of them is that animals increase global temperature while plants decrease it.  The oxygen-CO2 exchange has been out of balance many times, resulting in some of the most extreme temperatures seen in the last 500 million years.  The world's first animals are thought to have caused global warming after the Cryogenian period some 700 million years ago.  During the Cryogenian there was an overabundance of oxygen, which animals, then restricted to the ocean, used to their advantage.  The exchange of oxygen for CO2 caused a spike in the latter, which lead to global warming and the thawing of what's thought to have been a “Snowball Earth”.  
            In the late Ordivician, some 450 million years ago, there was a glaciation event, probably the first since the Cryogenian period.  It’s thought to be the leading cause of the first mass extinction in Earth’s history.  Scientists believe this event was caused by L chondrite meteorites from a nearby asteroid, that blocked the Earth from its usual sunlight for thousands of years.  Naturally, the climate slowly warmed once the meteorites finished dispersing through the atmosphere.  
            Then there was a long period of warming that lasted for 90 million years, until the Late Paleozoic Icehouse, which lasted even longer.  Temperatures were cooler than usual due to the evolution of land plants, occuring from 360-260 million years ago.  It’s the first known case of plants contributing to a global cooling trend.  
                The largest extinction of all time occurred at the same time as the largest swing in temperature variation.  About 250 million years ago, the End-Permian mass extinction resulted from a series of volcanic eruptions in Siberia, bringing the Earth out of the Icebox and into a severe greenhouse that killed over 90% of animal species.   Judging by the graph, it apparently took 50 million years to recover from this event, for temperatures did not return to normal until the Triassic ended. 
            When dinosaurs ruled the Earth, temperatures were higher than normal.  After the Jurassic began, there was a slow warming trend that eventually resulted in the Cretaceous Hot Greenhouse.  This is attributed to the Mid-Atlantic ridge opening up, causing a separation of the continents and much volcanic activity that kept the planet warm for the longest period in history.  More volcanism has been linked to the Paleocene-Eocene maximum, about 55 million years ago, yet the cause for this spike remains uncertain. 
            Next comes one of the more interesting events in Earth’s history.  During the Eocene, when temperatures were really high, the Arctic Ocean was born.  There was a species of plant called Azolla that dominated the ecosystem.  When these plants died and sank to the surface, they brought massive amounts of CO2 with them.  It was enough to cause global temperatures to fall dramatically, over a long period aptly called the Azolla Event, leading to the Late Cenozoic Ice Age that started 34 million years ago and is still happening.  The Azolla Event is only a theoretical explanation for the current Icebox Earth, but it may be the first case in history where a single species had an influence on long-term climate change. 
            The second of these cases should be self-explanatory, unless you are in denial about it.  Humans are directly responsible for the rapid increase in CO2 levels that have made global temperatures rise.  Obviously, no geologic or astronomic event is causing it, nor is there a widely accepted Earth cycle that would make it fluctuate at such an extreme rate.  Like the first animals, we are contributing to climate change on a level not seen in Earth’s history.  And the rate we are doing it could upset the balance so much that there would be an extinction event comparable to the disastrous End-Permian.  The reason it’s comparable is because we are at a low point in the graph, just like when the volcanoes in Siberia overturned it, sending it skyrocketing to the highest point.  The catastrophic rate of change spells disaster for the natural balance of things, which may result in an unprecedented number of extinctions, at least in the history of mammals. 
            Aside from geologic and astronomic events, it seems that individual species are certainly capable of changing the climate, if not collections of them.  Plants and animals both did it, hundreds of millions of years ago.  In the last 50 million years, there may have been two individual species responsible- possibly more to be discovered in the fossil record.  The more we discover, the more we're finding out that life changes Earth’s climate as often as natural events. 

Monday, September 21, 2020

Scale, Geoffrey West

 Scale should be essential reading for any scientist.  It opens the door to new concepts that could lead to a paradigm shift in the 21st century, such as big data and the science of networking.  Yet these are only peripheral to the main thesis.  Geoffrey West's premise is that there are biological axioms that scale according to size, which can be applied to things not usually considered alive, such as cities and companies. 

First, he provides the hard biological evidence for axioms of scale.  Metabolic rate is one of many examples that are best described as intangible biological fractals pervading the universe.  Other examples are heart beats, white/grey matter, insect/colony biomass, longevity, and neural and circulatory systems.  Remarkably, the size of these systems scale at multiples of 1/4, no matter what animal is being referenced. 

Things that typically aren't thought of as being alive are considered, such as vehicles, cities, and companies.  Did you know that the average car combusts roughly a billion times during its lifespan, which is only slightly lower than the typical number of heartbeats of any mammal?  I certainly don't consider this evidence of cars being alive, but I am open to there being universal laws that describe lifelike systems such as a car. 

Likewise, I think it's a mistake to call cities and companies alive because they can't reproduce.  In my mind they better serve as a metaphor for body systems.  I used to think the ability of something to resist entropy was the only thing that defined it as being alive; but reproduction is critical too, because not doing it effectively ends the chain of life.  There can't be life if there's no way to pass down the information needed to reconstruct itself. 

Another interesting thing he covered are called Dunbar’s numbers, which are limits to group sizes in social interaction.  Social connectivity in cities scales at 1.15 for a number of metrics, including cell phone usage (think of conference calls and social networking).  However, invariance was measured in the number of friends, meaning it doesn't scale- someone in a small town would have just as many friends as someone in a city.  It means that Dunbar’s limits apply; that the diversity in cities makes it easier to identify with people we have things in common with. 

What does this mean for the future of science?  It means that big data is taking over.  It's getting harder for scientists to test and prove theories, because there's so much data now that algorithms are getting more efficient at discovering natural laws.  It would take a human all day to sift through 100 pages of data, but a computer that could "see" it automatically is more likely to find the right information: probably information the scientist wasn't even looking for.  The ideas in Scale are so big that only computers can simplify the complexity of comparing systems in humans, cities, and companies to formulate cohesive principles of growth. 

Sunday, September 20, 2020

The Shack, William P. Young

 I don’t normally read religious fiction, but on principle I like to keep an open mind on reading material, so this fit the bill.  The Shack begins with a terrible tragedy that befalls a father of three, Mack, an ordinary man of faith.  Drowning in grief that is severe enough to threaten his faith, he goes on a mystical journey to heaven, or a place like it.  He encounters several personifications of religious beings who offer their wisdom, including God, Jesus, the Holy Spirit, and Sophia, who is somewhat out of place as a Greek Goddess.         

A book like this has the power to change one’s faith; it’s that good.  It didn’t change mine, however it did inspire me to write a couple poems that I’m deeply proud of.  I walked away from the book feeling moved by the story, like it made me a more complete person- the best sign of any book worth reading.  You don’t have to be religious to enjoy the adventure, or to relate with the stages of grief, or to benefit from the insights, which any religion could probably provide.  It only means you'd relate to it more.  Highly recommended for anyone dealing with grief and loss. 

Saturday, September 19, 2020

We Are Colors

Out there in balmy glassland  
The senses are quantized, coded,  
Filtered through prisms, short-waved,  
Dialed into thought, purified of hope.  
Electric phases of feeling spectral,  
Absorbing others, emitting ours, 
Reflecting choices magnetized,  
Fission of dreams, pulses of scale,  
Blindness a virtue for the dispossessed.  
We talk in frequencies, long-waves  
Scattered through motionless time,  
Acoustic billiards, the nebulous song, 
Intercepted by receivers of love. 
We are the energy, the light,  
Children fractalized by white,   
The colors escaping, mixing, diluting,  
Sequences of experience broadcast  
Through mighty Kalachakram,  
Ommmm, the divided we stand,  
We the distracted, we the perverse,  
We the souls iterated by each transform,  
We born of white, we children of light, 
We are spectral, we are colors. 

Software

My body is the motherboard, With circuits that calculate The answer to every imbalance. My eyes are the monitor With rods and cones intercep...